Crude Oil (Brent) Brent is testing a major long-term resistance zone (115–116) that goes back to the 2008 high. A weekly close above 116.62 flips the trade bullish toward 169.30 — a target Carrie says could be reached in days or weeks given the Iran/Hormuz situation. Failure to break above keeps a multi-month rollback into the upper 50s–low 70s on the table.
Nasdaq 100 / S&P 500 Both indexes are in active sell signals. Nasdaq target: 20,660. S&P target: 5,373 (3–4 year channel bottom). The S&P tipped first, Nasdaq confirmed a week later. Recovery requires closing back above 23,830 (Nasdaq) and 6,641 (S&P) — unlikely without a concrete Iran peace deal.
Microsoft In a sell signal since breaking below 399.41. Near-term target: 345–350. A close below 344 opens the door to 315, and potentially the October 2022 low around 213 before year-end.
Meta Sell signal triggered last week. Near-term target: 466.96, which Carrie considers a strong long-term buy zone for investment-grade positions. A close below 466 targets 358. Above 584 flips back bullish toward 713.
Alphabet (Google) Has been in a sell signal since February following a key reversal high. Target: 235–242, expected by end of April. That zone is considered a solid re-entry for the rest of the year.
Amazon Holding up better than peers. Key support at 198.03 this week. A close below sends it to 182.41, which could mark the low for the year. Upside breakout resistance at 234.34 — above that targets the 280s.
Apple Testing a 5-year channel top. Channel bottom support at ~234.98. A close below the low 230s targets 195, which both Kenny and Carrie view as an aggressive long-term buy. Above 289 would be a new paradigm targeting the 380s over 1–2 years.
Tesla Six weeks into a sell signal after breaking below 428.22. Target: 333.59 — considered a cover zone for shorts and a buy for longer-term holders. A close below 333.59 opens a drop into the low 200s–220s.
Nvidia Sell signal active. Target: 154.13 over 3–5 weeks, viewed as a strong buy zone into Q3. If that breaks, 137.92 is the next major support and considered investment-grade. Recovery above 175.41 would be a positive signal, especially if tied to an Iran resolution.
Palantir New sell signal triggered last week on a reversal high and close below the prior week’s low. (Analysis cut off in the transcript.)
Macro Overlay Everything is being filtered through the Iran/Strait of Hormuz situation. A credible, acknowledged peace deal is the single biggest catalyst that could reverse most of these sell signals. Boots on the ground or escalating strikes would likely accelerate the downside targets across the board.
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